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Toronto: With just two days to go before Canadians cast their ballots, two new polls show the Liberals with a lead over both the Conservatives and the NDP.
According to a Forum Research Poll released Friday, the Liberals stand at 37 per cent support, compared with 31 per cent support for the Conservatives and 24 per cent support for the NDP. The Bloc Quebecois hold six per cent support, while the Green party holds two per cent.
The poll sampled 1,438 voters across the country between Oct. 13 and Oct. 14. and is considered accurate to within plus or minus three percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
The results were virtually unchanged from another Forum poll released a week earlier.
“Poll results have not shifted strongly since the end of last week, except that the Liberals lead or are tied across the country now, except in Alberta, and the NDP appear to be out of the hunt,” Forum Research President Lorne Bozinoff said in a release attached to the poll.
According to the pollster, the results indicate that the Liberals could be poised to win a minority in the House of Commons, while the Conservatives would take second place.
A Nanos nightly tracking poll released Friday morning shows similar results, with 36.5 per cent of respondents saying they support the Liberals, followed by 30.6 per cent for the Conservatives and 23.5 per cent for the NDP.
The poll found that support for the Liberals in seat-rich Ontario is even stronger (43.5 per cent) compared to 33.5 per cent for the Conservatives and just 19.9 per cent for the NDP.
The Nanos tracking poll used a three-day rolling sample of 1,200 online and phone interviews and is considered accurate to within plus or minus 2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
The Forum poll also found that 29 per cent of respondents think Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau would make the best prime minister, compared to 26 per cent for Conservative Leader Stephen Harper and 24 per cent for NDP Leader Tom Mulcair.
The results could also indicate that strategic voting may play a role in the election’s outcome, with 26 per cent of those who plan to vote Liberal saying they are doing so because that party has the best chance of defeating the current Conservative government.
